Analysis of Israeli Election Results

And here are the results.

Netanyahu's bloc: 53, Eisenkot's bloc: 48,

Arabs: 19. Five things

we can learn from this.

One, the people said yes to Bibi. Two, the people said

no to a full- on right- wing government.

This bloc lost 11 seats,

15 if you count Gideon Sa'ar.

Sorry, full- on right- wingers, you are

a minority. Three,

the people also said no to the change bloc.

Sorry, liberal Jewish camp, we are a minority too.

Four, polls are bullshit.

Everyone was wrong, most of them were way off,

and Filber was off by nine seats.

Fifth and lastly, we learned

that there are Arabs in this country,

and apparently, if you

treat them like they aren't

citizens, it gives them extra

motivation to show that they are.

Well done, Ben Gvir.

In any case, this division

into blocs is massive

mind manipulation,

because if we put Arabs

in a separate bloc

because they're not Zionists, then we

should do the same with the "We'd

rather die than enlist" group.

The Arabs would be

control the country, etc.

So I think it makes sense to

put the Arabs and the Haredim

together, and then we'll get

forty pro- Bibi Zionist seats,

48 anti-Bibi Zionist seats, 32 non-Zionist

seats. When looking at this division,

the possibility arises of a

Zionist unity government,

which, if you remove the

Kahanists and the Democrats,

who declared they are unwilling

to join such a government, leaves a broad coalition of 73

seats led by Likud.

Do I like the idea of Bibi being prime

minister? No, but who cares what I think if 27

seats voted for him?

Democracy and all that.

This coalition won't do

many of the things I'd like to see happen,

but that's life.

There's what you'd like and what's possible,

and such a coalition could finally dismantle the

Haredi autonomy and integrate Haredim into society.

It could also advance important economic reforms

and address security challenges, and I definitely

prefer it to another round of elections,

but it won't happen.

Unless Trump intervenes and forces this on us,

Bibi has no

interest in a unity government. After all, why not?

He's a caretaker prime minister,

he's fine with it this way,

and he knows that if there are more elections

then all those who came from abroad

won't come again,

and Vinter's seats won't be

thrown away again, and that way

he'll have another three or four seats,

which still won't be enough for him to form

a full- fledged right- wing government,

but it's better than what he has now,

so it's preferable for him.

A final way to view the breakdown is simply:

Bibi's bloc, 53,

Bibi's opponents, 67.

And listen, a minority

government will not be formed

with Arab support, it won't happen.

And it's not just Ra'am we're talking about, but also

the Joint List, you get a government that

won't be able to advance almost anything,

It will fall

after two months, and in the election after that,

Bibi will pick up another ten seats because

people will be angry that it happened.

In any case, and we'll end here,

when you look at this breakdown, you can

remember that regardless of the government,

there are 120 new Knesset members.

Each of them can introduce a bill or propose

replacing the Speaker of the Knesset,

just as an example,

and if 61 support it, it will happen.

And yes, that means voting together with Arabs,

which Likud has done quite a few times

in the past. But all the noise you're hearing now,

all the uproar around the Arab parties,

all the accusations flying around now,

maybe false, maybe true,

and probably exaggerated,

are intended first and foremost

to convince us that even

just voting with Arabs

is not okay.