Analysis of J.D. Vance's Political Future
Nov 2, 2026 3:00 About United States
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Seamos totalmente sinceros.
Todos sabemos que, a fin de cuentas, Tucker Carlson va a apoyar a
J.D. Vance.
Todo el mundo lo sabe. Tucker y J.D.
Vance son mejores amigos y confidentes cercanos. Hablan todo el tiempo.
Tucker fue uno de los mayores partidarios de J.D.
Vance cuando se postuló al Senado, y Tucker también está muy vinculado con todos los
otros aliados de la mafia de PayPal, como Peter Thiel y
David Sacks. Eh, participan juntos en la
red RockBridge
y en 1789 Capital. Así que esos vínculos son muy profundos.
J.D. Vance es el vicepresidente,
y, según The Washington Post esta mañana,
incluso Trump ya lo considera, quizá de manera informal, pero pronto formalmente,
el heredero aparente del MAGA, el candidato favorito para 2028.
Y sabemos que Tucker no se postula a la presidencia,
Y no va a haber ningún tercer partido.
Es un gran engaño.
Los están engañando. Es una provocación.
Están ilusionando a todos con una candidatura de un tercer partido.
«Oh, será como Ron Paul. Oh, será emocionante». Insinúan una
candidatura presidencial, pero no tienen intención de hacerlo.
No va a ocurrir.
Todos apoyarán a J.D. Vance.
Y lo que trataba el manifiesto de diez puntos anoche era exponer algunos de
estos temas e ideas y una vaga… esta vaga visión del
futuro,
él solo está probando la retórica
en nombre de J.D. Vance. ¿Por qué hace esto?
Bueno, es muy sencillo. J.D. Vance no puede presentarse abiertamente
como candidato presidencial ahora mismo porque es el
vicepresidente. Así que sería muy indecoroso por su parte
A un superior pato cojo no le conviene salir a la campaña en ningún
ámbito, formal ni informalmente, aunque una campaña en la sombra
ya esté tomando forma entre bastidores, aunque Vance ya esté trabajando duro
para cortejar a los donantes y montar una estructura de campaña en los primeros estados.
Tienen que fingir que no están haciendo esto. No sería apropiado.
No, no quedaría bien.
Además, hay otro problema.
No se trata solo de que J.D. Vance esté limitado por el cargo.
También es que Vance va a tener que
hacer algo realmente difícil cuando se presente,
que es, al mismo tiempo, que él iba… él va a tener que buscar el
respaldo de Trump, y va a tener que defender su
labor como vicepresidente de Trump, y también la administración de Trump.
Así que tendrá que ser muy leal a Trump, mostrarse cercano a él y defenderlo
a Trump. Al mismo tiempo, tendrá que romper discretamente con Trump
porque Trump es un gran lastre, es muy impopular entre los independientes,
y cada vez más impopular incluso entre los republicanos.
Carga con el lastre de Epstein, de la guerra con Irán,
de todas las promesas incumplidas,
de la guerra civil en el Partido Republicano.
Así que Vance no solo no puede empezar
a presentar nada de cara a su candidatura presidencial,
sino que también tendrá que hilar muy fino.
End of transcript · 490 words · machine translated
Original transcript (English)
Let's just be totally honest. We all know at the end of the day, Tucker Carlson is gonna get behind J.D. Vance. Everybody knows that. Tucker and J.D. Vance are best friends, close confidants. They talk all the time.
Tucker was one of the biggest supporters of J.D. Vance when he ran for Senate, and Tucker is also in bed with all of the other PayPal mafia allies, like Peter Thiel, like David Sacks. Uh, they're involved together in the RockBridge
network and 1789 Capital. So those ties run very deep. J.D. Vance is the vice president, and according to The Washington Post this morning, even Trump considers him now, maybe informally, but soon to be formally, the heir apparent of MAGA, the presumptive nominee in 2028.
And so we know Tucker is not running for president, and there ain't gonna be no third party. That is a big bait and switch. They are tricking you. That is a tease. They're getting everybody excited for a third-party run.
"Oh, it's gonna be like Ron Paul. Oh, it's gonna be exciting." Teasing a presidential run, they have no intention of doing that. It is not going to happen. They're all gonna get behind J.D. Vance. And what the 10-point manifesto was about last night, laying out some of
these themes and ideas and vague-- this vague vision for the future, he is merely trialing out the rhetoric on behalf of J.D. Vance. Why is he doing this? Well, it's very simple. J.D. Vance cannot overtly position
himself as a presidential candidate right now because he's the vice president. So it would be very uncouth to his lame duck superior to be out on the campaign trail in any capacity, formally, informally, even though a shadow campaign is already taking shape behind the scenes, even though Vance is already hard at work
courting donors and laying a ground game in the early states. They have to pretend like they're not doing this. It wouldn't be proper. It, it wouldn't look right. What's more, there's an additional problem. It's not just that J.D. Vance is constrained by the office.
It's also that Vance is going to have to do something really difficult when he runs, which is simultaneously he was-- he is going to need to seek Trump's endorsement, and he is going to need to defend his work as Trump's vice president, but also Trump's administration.
So he's gonna need to be very loyal to Trump and Trump-friendly and defend Trump. At the same time, he's also gonna need to softly break with Trump because Trump is a major liability, deeply unpopular with independents, increasingly unpopular even with Republicans. He's got the baggage of Epstein,
of the Iran war, of all the failed promises, the civil war in the Republican Party. And so Vance is not only not able to begin putting anything out there for his presidential run, he's also gonna need to thread the needle.
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