Analysis of Potential War with Iran
Nov 3, 2026 1:17 About Iran
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Así que creo que vamos de vuelta a la guerra.
Creo que es muy poco probable que,
con el tiempo, se llegue a un acuerdo, porque
estos dos bandos no confían el uno en el otro.
No hay entendimiento entre los dos bandos. No hay ningún acuerdo.
No confían el uno en el otro. Irán no está seguro de que no vayamos a
volver a la guerra. Por eso necesitan estas garantías.
Sin duda queremos volver a la guerra, y por eso no estamos dispuestos a darles
nada.
Queremos mantener o preservar la opción de volver a la guerra.
Mientras Irán tenga uranio altamente
enriquecido y centrifugadoras, vamos a
reservarnos el derecho de intervenir militarmente,
y eso significa que no pueden controlar el
estrecho, y eso significa que no se puede reconstruir Hezbolá,
y eso significa que no podemos simplemente darles
cientos de miles de millones de dólares, y nosotros
No podemos abandonar nuestras bases. Porque ¿qué pasa si no cumplen
con la desnuclearización?
En ese momento no podríamos hacer nada para detenerlo.
En ese momento no podríamos hacer nada para detenerlo.
Así que esa, esa es la causa fundamental de todo esto,
y eso no va a
desaparecer. Así que esa es nuestra situación
con el memorando de entendimiento.
Creo que quizá volvamos a la guerra después
de las elecciones de medio mandato.
Eh, pero vamos a seguir. Vamos a echar un vistazo a los Super
Chats.
No apuesten eso en Polymarket ni en Calcio, o lo que sea.
Es una predicción tentativa. Vamos a echar un vistazo a nuestros Super
Chats.
Veamos qué tienen que decir sobre todo esto.
End of transcript · 271 words · machine translated
Original transcript (English)
So I think we're headed back into a war. I think it's very unlikely as time goes on that a deal happens because these two sides don't trust each other. There's no understanding between the two sides. There's no agreement.
They don't trust each other. Iran has no confidence we're not gonna go back to war. That's why they need these assurances. We definitely wanna go back to war, and that's why we're not willing to give them. We wanna maintain or preserve the option to go back to war.
As long as Iran has highly enriched uranium and centrifuges, we're gonna reserve the right to intervene militarily, and that means they can't control the strait, and that means Hezbollah can't be rebuilt,
and that means we can't just give them hundreds of billions of dollars, and we can't abandon our bases. Because what happens if they don't follow through on denuclearization? There's nothing we could do to shut
it down at that point. So that, that is the root cause of all of this, and that's just not going away. So that's where we are with the MOU.
I think we're going back to war maybe after the midterms. Uh, but we're gonna move on. We're gonna take a look at the Super Chats. Don't take that to Polymarket or Calcio, whatever.
Tentative prediction. We're gonna take a look at our Super Chats. We'll see what you guys have to say about all this
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